On July 11 at noon I will be teaching my Skillshare class on Bayesian Probability and a Theory of Life again. I am really looking forward to doing so for a bunch of different reasons. First, I really enjoyed teaching the first one and it’s been way too long. Second, I get to test out some brand new Skillshare features that are still in limited beta. Third, all the proceeds will go to Pencils of Promise. Fourth, the issue of fundamental misunderstanding of probability keeps popping up.
For instance, earlier this month, the New York Times published an article titled “Let’s (Not) Get Physicals.” One of the arguments made against having an annual physical was that “tests can have high rates of ‘false positives’.” If you don’t know what a false positive is or if you don’t know why it doesn’t make sense to use that as an argument against annual physicals, then you should definitely take the class!