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New York City Crosswalks: Safety and Bayes

This morning’s NY Times has a couple of interesting stories. The first is that apparently the rate for bribery in NY State and City legislatures is as low as $20K. But the one that really caught my attention was the headline titled “Crosswalks in New York are not Havens.” Having three children who walk to school in Manhattan, this is a topic very near to my heart. The article starts out with the following quote:Pedestrians struck by cars are most often hit while in the crosswalk, with the sig...

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Uncertainty Wednesday: Correlation the Bayesian Way

After a short break of a few weeks, Uncertainty Wednesday is back! My last post had been the third part in a series on “Spurious Correlation” which ended with “Interestingly, this takes me to the edge of my own knowledge and so I have asked an expert in Bayesian estimation to help me. Stay tuned!” Well, that expert is Eric Novik from Generable. Generable is a company that uses Stan, the world’s leading Bayesian estimation too, to help companies make better decisions. Eric took on my challenge...

Sign Up for My Skillshare Class on Probability

It was great fun to see XKCD take up the subject of Bayesian probability. That was a good reminder that it’s been a while since I taught my Skillshare class on the subject. And so I have added a new date for a lunch class on December 4th. As per usual, all proceeds go to Pencils of Promise. I have been asked if I am going to teach this class online as opposed to in person. Some day I may do that. But for now I really enjoy being together in a room. There is something very gratifying for me to...