Continuations

This will be the last Uncertainty Wednesday for 2017 as I am about to go away on vacation. In the last post I had introduced the idea that sometimes when volatility is suppressed it comes back to bite us. I wanted to have a really simple model for demonstrating that and so I wrote some Python code to make a 50:50 coin toss and depending on the result either increment or decrement a value by +/- 2 (I set the initial value to 100). Here is a plot of a sample run:Now to suppress volatility, I mo...

This is the second post in my little project of self publishing my PhD Thesis. Last week I introduced an econometric analysis of the impact of Information Technology (IT) firm size. This time it is a more theoretical paper that presents a model for examining the impact of different types of IT on the structure of organizations. In particular, it compares having no IT, with centralized IT (think mainframes) and networked IT (think Internet and Intranet). I was particularly happy with how this ...