Historically in the software business high gross margins were considered essential. It is not clear to me that the same logic will apply for cloud-based services. Their cost structure might wind up being quite different. Much smaller development teams can accomplish amazing things on top of a cloud stack substantially reducing the fixed cost component. On the other hand, COGS may increase significantly as the underlying cloud services are paid on a variable basis. With that in mind, it could well be that some of the most successful cloud businesses will have small or even tiny margins (just a tiny bit of a mark-up / premium to the underlying infrastructure) but at potentially huge scale! This is just a short post to help me with my own thinking on this, but I am hoping to dig deeper with some actual numbers and maybe case studies along these lines.
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